I-36 Kota Toshimoto

Application of virtual clinical studies to predict the effect of inter-individual differences on the drug/metabolites exposures in the blood and target organs leading to different pharmacological and toxicological effect

Kota Toshimoto, Yuichi Sugiyama

Sugiyama Laboratory, RIKEN Innovation Center, RIKEN, Yokohama, Japan

Objectives: 

This study shows the potential of virtual clinical study (VCS) to predict the effect of inter-individual differences on drug or metabolite exposures in blood and target organs leading to pharmacological and toxicological effects [1]. VCS is computational simulation with physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK), pharmacodynamic, and toxicodynamic models to generate virtual patients with the variability of physiological and pharmacokinetic parameters based on genetic polymorphism, ethnic differences, and inter- and intra-individual variability [2, 3]. Irinotecan is intravenously administered for various cancer treatment. SN-38 is an active metabolite of irinotecan and causes serious side effects including neutropenia and diarrhea. UGT1A1 polymorphism increases risk of the side effects because of higher SN-38 exposure due to decreased UGT1A1 metabolic activity, and similar results have been reported in different clinical studies [4]. Except for UGT1A1, there has been no clear association between the side effects of irinotecan and the effect of genetic polymorphism of other transporters including organic anion transporting polypeptide (OATP) 1B1, multiple drug resistance (MDR) 1, breast cancer resistance protein (BCRP), and multidrug resistance-associated protein (MRP) 2.

Methods:

Because there were many unknown parameters in the PBPK model, it was difficult to determine appropriate initial values for unknown parameters. Thus, conventional nonlinear least squares methods such as the Gauss–Newton method and Levenberg–Marquardt method could not be applied. To overcome this problem, Cluster Newton method (CNM) was newly introduced to optimize unknown parameters of PBPK model [7]. In CNM, multiple sets of initial values of parameters were generated at random from a certain range for each unknown parameter. Then, linear approximations of projection from parameters to objective function were used to determine the next iterations from initial sets. To perform VCS, not only the inter-individual variability for each physiological and physicochemical parameters of the PBPK model but also the genetic polymorphisms of enzymes and transporters were considered. A virtual patient was generated by performing Monte Carlo simulation given a frequency distribution (average and coefficient of variation) for each parameter and the activity ratio and the allele frequency for each genetic polymorphism obtained from experiments in vitro and in vivo [8-12]. VCS was performed to find whether the PBPK model that reproduced a blood concentration–time profile, could reproduce the results of a previously reported clinical study. The patients with high unbound plasma AUC were assumed to have neutropenia and those with high unbound enterocyte AUC were assumed to have diarrhea.

Results:

Using CNM, thePBPK model with approximately 30 sets of parameters could give good reproduction of the pharmacokinetics of irinotecan and its metabolites. The computational time for CNM optimization with the initial 10,000 sets of parameters was about 15 min using a workstation (CPU: Xeon E5-2640 v3 ´2; OS: CentOS 6.7 64 bit; RAM: 32 GB). This result shows that CNM is a powerful algorithm by which to find multiple sets of parameters for PBPK models quickly. The VCS confirmed that the genetic polymorphisms of UGT1A1 affected the SN-38 plasma concentration, and was associated with neutropenia. The VCS also indicated that “biliary index (= AUC(irinotecan) ´ AUC(SN-38) / AUC(SN-38 glucuronide)), [13]” is a better biomarker of diarrhea than the UGT1A1 polymorphism.

Conclusions:

The multiple sets of PBPK model parameters could reproduce the effects of genetic polymorphisms of UGT1A1 on the plasma concentration of SN-38 and side effects such as neutropenia and diarrhea using a VCS approach. To optimize the numerous biochemical parameters of irinotecan and its metabolites in the PBPK model, a CNM parameter optimization algorithm was introduced. The current VCS confirmed the importance of the biliary index as a better biomarker of irinotecan-induced diarrhea compared with only UGT1A1 polymorphism. In this study, VCS was performed to evaluate whether reported clinical studies could be reproduced by the PBPK model,in a “retrospective” approach. To examine the potential of VCS to apply it to the “prospective” prediction, VCS for another anti-cancer drug is on-going prior to the results of clinical study published.

References:
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Reference: PAGE 27 (2018) Abstr 8575 [www.page-meeting.org/?abstract=8575]

Poster: Drug/Disease Modelling - Absorption & PBPK